I am surprised that the link to the excellent article in The Maryborough Advertiser has not been posted to this thread. Allow me.....
http://www.maryboroughadvertiser.com.au/wordpress/?p=7688
Inflated Budget Hits Rail Project
Unrealistics expectations and costings will “kill” the proposed rail link between Geelong, Ballarat and Bendigo.
The recently released Rail Revival Study, is visionary in concept but unrealistic in terms of project delivery, according to Carisbrook resident Noel Laidlaw.
Mr Laidlaw said that in its current form, this proposal was destined to fail due to its unrealistic price tag.
A mining engineer with more than 35 years experience in both public service and industry, Mr Laidlaw said that the authors of the report needed a serious reality check in suggesting the plan.
The proposal of spending up to $935 million was marred with inflated costs, poor perception of community expectations and a lack of understanding of governments financial limitations, he said.
“I have been involved in a lot of projects moving millions of tonnes of earth, built roads, plants and infrastructure,” Mr Laidlaw said.
“I have dealt with contractors and consultants yet I doubt that I have ever seen a project with such fine intentions marred by such an unrealistic report.”
Mr Laidlaw said that in its current form, this proposal was destined to fail due to its unrealistic price tag.
He said that a more modest proposal would be well within the means of the State Government and would still provide an excellent rail service for the half a million residents living along the route.
Mr Laidlaw said that he had a number of specific criticisms of what has been proposed.
Firstly, although a price tag of $935 million was attached to the overall proposal, there was no specific costing on the project.
While some individual components of the project were costed, such as bridge repairs, drainage works, or level crossings, there was not real attempt to justify the overall figure that had been suggested.
“And those that were costed seemed to be highly inflated. Without a detailed explanation of the total costing, the $935 million is meaningless.”
Secondly, many of the very large ticket items in this proposal have been on V/Line’s “wish list” for some time and have been included in the Rail Revival proposal.
“The duplication of the rail line to Harcourt, and the reopening of the Harcourt station and the new crossover works at Warrenheip outside Ballarat will happen irrespective of whether this plan is implemented or not,” Mr Laidlaw said.
“These essential works have been added to the Rail Revival proposal and by adding so much to the project cost may mean that the whole project will never see light of day.”
He said the study envisages the rebuilding of a number of heritage stations along the line, rather than, as was done in the reopening of the Maryborough-Ballarat line, to construct a fairly adequate platform and shelter for the use of passengers.
“This would save many millions on the project.
“Similarly, a number of station locations are highly questionable as they really don’t have the population to justify the station.
“The reduction of the number of stations would have the additional effect of speeding up the service with fewer stops,” Mr Laidlaw said.
His final criticism of the study is that it has set as a benchmark, the goal of a 160km/h passenger service.
“This in itself is quite creditable but unrealistic,” Mr Laidlaw said.
“Much of the report is devoted to bringing the track up to 160km/h standard and in doing so vastly escalates the overall costs.
“The work required to improve rail track from 100km/h to 160km/h can mean up to doubling of the cost with additional works such as curve straightening, additional bed, heavier track, curve canting and the like.
“As a long term resident of central Victoria, I am firmly of the belief that a more modest passenger service would well and truly meet the needs of the residents living along the line,” Mr Laidlaw said.
“It will give enhanced access to work, education, health services and social activities. It will make these cities far more appealing places to live and reduce the reliance on the motor car.”
Mr Laidlaw urged the Minister for Transport to take a look at the Rail Revival Study and where costs could be cut to see the project come to life.
“A rail service could be basically operated between Ballarat and Geelong tomorrow,” Mr Laidlaw said.
“Services already exist between Ballarat and Maryborough as well as between Castlemaine and Bendigo.
“The reconstruction of the Castlemaine-Maryborough line is not a significant engineering undertaking. To suggest that this is a project with a price tag of $935 million is ludicrous.
“The Minister for Transport needs to review this report, sharpen his pencil and make this highly creditable project a reality,” he said.