2019 Federal Election Thread

 
  emerald-a Locomotive Driver

Labor destroyed around Central Queensland unsurprisingly given their anti mining and anti agriculture stance.

I wonder if the state government will take notice and adapt or if they will just walk to the slaughter

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  justapassenger Minister for Railways

I know life-long rusted on ALP voters and unionists who for the first time voted for the Coalition.
Carnot
Also some life-long Liberal voters turned away from them this time.

Mayo, once a blue ribbon seat, saw a swing away from the Liberals towards Rebekha Sharkie in the third consecutive election (2016 general election, 2018 by-election, 2019 general election). It was clear very early on in counting that Princess Georgina had been firmly told to crawl back under the rock she came from, and after two defeats in a row it would be unlikely that she'll be back again.

The really interesting one is the decisive victory of Zali Steggall over Tony Abbott, where the Liberal smear campaign clearly failed to win back the many long term Liberal voters who sided with Steggall. If she performs well as a local MP sitting close to the centre but leaning slightly towards the Coalition, she will have a good chance of cementing a reputation as a good local representative who deserves to be returned next time.
  james.au Minister for Railways

Location: Sydney, NSW
My question - how are the polls so wrong?

My conspiracy question - was NewsPoll used to suggest labour were stronger than reality and sway voters to vote Liberal?



Re Vic budget, here is hoping for some clarity around the Freight Passenger Separation Project.
  RTT_Rules Oliver Bullied, CME

Location: Dubai UAE
I know life-long rusted on ALP voters and unionists who for the first time voted for the Coalition.
Also some life-long Liberal voters turned away from them this time.

Mayo, once a blue ribbon seat, saw a swing away from the Liberals towards Rebekha Sharkie in the third consecutive election (2016 general election, 2018 by-election, 2019 general election). It was clear very early on in counting that Princess Georgina had been firmly told to crawl back under the rock she came from, and after two defeats in a row it would be unlikely that she'll be back again.

The really interesting one is the decisive victory of Zali Steggall over Tony Abbott, where the Liberal smear campaign clearly failed to win back the many long term Liberal voters who sided with Steggall. If she performs well as a local MP sitting close to the centre but leaning slightly towards the Coalition, she will have a good chance of cementing a reputation as a good local representative who deserves to be returned next time.
justapassenger
I would it wasn't anti-LNP that got Tony Abbott out, but rather it was a very much anti-Tony Abbott. The IND is a conservative and already said she will support the govt if need be. Watch next time as she very much gets dumped for a fresh LNP candidate, like Dr Phelps may find out.

Yes some LNP supporters changed sides, happens every election to both sides and usually with the words, "never again".
  RTT_Rules Oliver Bullied, CME

Location: Dubai UAE
My question - how are the polls so wrong?

My conspiracy question - was NewsPoll used to suggest labour were stronger than reality and sway voters to vote Liberal?



Re Vic budget, here is hoping for some clarity around the Freight Passenger Separation Project.
james.au
1) There method of surveying is out date

2) The swing towards SCOMO was increasing and the polls are always lagging

3) The survey sizes are often very small

4) They missed things like SCOMO holding phone Town Hall Meetings to a random group of 5000 voters 3 x a night where SCOMO was taking questions from the same in the last weeks of the election.

5) NewsPoll is not the only polling agency and need to be careful about driving a bias for fear of loosing future work from other organisations. The election outcome will leave some organisations to ask Newspoll the hard questions on why they should use them if they get it so wrong. There is at least 1 guy $1M worse off.
  Radioman Chief Train Controller

Hello All,

the Bob Brown Environmental anti Adani Express certainly derailed both the Green and Labor Campaigns, both Parties showing a fall in their previous primary vote, in Labor's case, disastrously so.

The Adani Mine Project raises an interesting question in that Qld State Labor Govt has approved a project which will have a detrimental effect on the farmers in the District, especially when you consider that this is a region has a water shortage problem now, and the Adani Mine will now have priority over the farmers for access to water , this is not a good result for  either the farmers or the community.

The reality that Labor has not gained an extra seat nationwide effectively means that ScoMo has the opportunity to cement the LNP for a generation, and this time as the Nationals have again done very well, so the Liberals will again have to agree to some of the Nationals demands.

The ALP should also give serious consideration to a clean out of existing long serving MPs and go for a new generation, if they start this process now,