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cooch
Station Staff
Joined: Mar 18, 2008 Last Visited: Jul 9, 2008
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Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2008 3:21 pm
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Paul Mees raises some pursuasive analysis in regard to Melbourne's city loop capcity.
So why can't we double our current PEAK trains into the city with the current city loop as Paul Mees suggests? If nobody can provide a proper logical answer then do we not we as Melburnians have to seriously question Eddingtion and his $9b cross city tunnel?
I am interested in well researched contributions, not baseless personal attacks on Paul or Rod.
Your contributions will be appreciated by all melbournians.
| Quote: | | The Transport Supply and Demand report shows there are eight in-bound tracks serving Flinders Street: four running via the City Loop, and four "direct". Each is signalled to handle a train every two minutes, or 30 an hour. This would allow a total of 240 trains an hour, but international best practice suggests running at 80% to maintain reliability. That's 192 trains an hour, or twice the current level. |
The complete article below:
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IT'S been a long time between drinks for advocates of rail in Melbourne. The last new suburban line was the Glen Waverley line, which opened in 1930. It was to be followed by one to Doncaster, but the Depression and war intervened. Since then, plans for links to Monash University, Rowville and Melbourne Airport have also come to nothing.
But things may be changing. A new Prime Minister has begun talking about urban rail and, after decades of decline, patronage is growing again.
Enter Sir Rod Eddington. His report on east-west transport proposes the biggest capital expenditure program in Australian history. Half the $18 billion is for a single road project, which Eddington's own consultant economists suggest has a benefit-cost ratio well below one — which in plain English means it's a waste of money.
The other major project is a rail tunnel from Footscray to Caulfield, and Eddington has been talking up this aspect. He has criticised, without naming, people who have questioned the need for the rail tunnel. He describes this questioning as "dangerous nonsense", a stance echoed by Melissa Fyfe in The Sunday Age last week.
How could supporters of public transport question the wisdom of spending $8.5 billion on rail? Isn't it time Melbourne put serious money into an underground line to enable more trains to run to the city centre?
The simple answer is that Melbourne has already done just this. That's what the City Loop, which cost $5 billion in today's money, was all about. It's set out in the 1969 Melbourne Transportation Plan, which shows the system was intended to handle much higher volumes of trains and passengers than it carries today. There were to be new lines to places such as Doncaster and Rowville, more frequent services and more expresses.
Annual patronage was supposed to reach 300 million by 1985; in fact, this year it might reach 200 million. The number of suburban trains arriving at Flinders Street in the busiest hour was to jump from 108 in 1964 to 181 in 1985; instead, it's fallen to 95. There was to be an express from Mordialloc every two minutes in peak hour; instead there's one a day.
One reason patronage is lower than anticipated is that none of the proposed suburban lines were built because the loop chewed up all the available funds. The priority now should be to start work on those long-overdue new lines, plus electrifying existing routes to places such as Caroline Springs and Melton.
But Eddington is proposing that nothing be done to serve these areas. He wants to spend all available money on a rail tunnel that will duplicate the one we already have and which won't be finished until at least 2019, giving rail managers an excuse for another decade of inaction.
What reasons does Eddington offer for not utilising the spare capacity on the system? His report does not discuss the issue at all. Instead, it compares Melbourne's rail system with the way it operated in the 1930s, showing that we now run more express services. So what? We run far fewer expresses than the loop was designed to handle, as the 1969 plan shows.
The problems that are clogging the system are set out in a consultants' report that, although available on the Eddington website, is not discussed in his report. The Transport Supply and Demand report shows there are eight in-bound tracks serving Flinders Street: four running via the City Loop, and four "direct". Each is signalled to handle a train every two minutes, or 30 an hour. This would allow a total of 240 trains an hour, but international best practice suggests running at 80% to maintain reliability. That's 192 trains an hour, or twice the current level.
The real problem is not in the Loop at all: it's in the Department of Transport and Connex. The consultants outline the poor operating practices preventing available capacity from being used, ranging from crew changes delaying trains at Flinders Street to poor internal carriage layout slowing boarding. Instead of fixing the problems, Eddington proposes giving the department $8.5 billion to duplicate the Loop, along with an excuse for doing nothing else for a decade.
That's why Eddington has missed the train.
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fogcv
Chief Train Controller
Joined: Dec 06, 2006 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008 Location: The Burnley Group
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Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2008 4:02 pm
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Also, here is the Connex Timetabling Department viewpoint, as written up in the same edition of The Age.
It looks like they are going for more western suburbs trains over the viaduct to Flinders Street Station, together with a re-announcement of the Clifton Hill Loop change to permanent clockwise operation.
The Age: Finding a way through the railway labyrinth
| The Age wrote: | | Many of the new services will run on the Werribee, Sydenham and Epping/Hurstbridge lines, with others dispersed, according to last month's patronage survey — the results of which have not been released. |
Full Article ...
http://www.theage.com.au/national/finding-a-way-through-the-railway-labyrinth-20080621-2un3.html?page=-1
The Ghost of (Sir) John Monash (Circa 1931)
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Kerpal
Train Controller
Joined: Jul 17, 2005 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008 Location: Waiting for an express that'll never come ...
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Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2008 4:51 pm
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Here's a cheap East-West link ...
Remove Werribee and Frankston trains from the loop. Split the Werribee and Altona lines. Split the Frankston service into two-tiers.
Through-route all Werribee/Altona/Williamstown trains to Frankston and Sandringham.
We now have a link between North Melbourne and Richmond, the major East and West interchange stations.
Job done ... gimme $9bn.
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richiebogie
Junior Train Controller
Joined: Aug 29, 2006 Last Visited: Nov 28, 2008
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Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2008 7:01 pm
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Sir Rod was commisioned to investigate improved East West links and not improvement to public transport generally. However his later recommendations do appear to be an attempt to extend his report to cover this.
The Eddington report seems to find that there are track capacity deficiencies between Caulfield and Footscray, and that this is the most urgent priority for Melbourne's rail infrastructure.
However a thought experiment suggests that the highest priority constraint lies elsewhere.
Eg. If all trains were "stopping all stations", then subject to loading and signalling improvements, we could have them run up to 3 minutes apart on each available track.
Also we can get more capacity by using Kerpal's suggestion to have more 'through trains' at Flinders St connecting Caulfield to Footscray.
Recall there are 6 tracks in the viaducts running directly between Flinders St and Southern Cross Station.
The inner 4 service the loop. The outer 2 bypass the loop.
By having more trains utilise the outer 2 viaducts without terminating at Flinders St, we free up platforms at Flinders St for more terminating services from Richmond, and free up capacity in the loop for more services overall.
The biggest problem then is that express trains from Bairnsdale, Packenham, Seymour, Bendigo, Ballarat and Geelong all require 'stopping all stations' trains to be spaced further apart than demand dictates.
This can be avoided if there is quadruplicated track at well calculated sections beyond Caulfield and Footscray to enable expresses to overtake stopping all station trains without cutting their frequency.
Sydney has large sections of quad track in the outer suburbs.
Along with a shortage of trains and drivers, the lack of separate express and stopping-all-stations tracks in 2 directions in outer suburbs appears to be the main capacity constraint in Melbourne's rail system at present which should be addressed before adding more inner city tunnels.
Last edited by richiebogie on Mon Jun 23, 2008 7:38 pm; edited 3 times in total
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gazz
Station Master
Joined: Nov 18, 2007 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008
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Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2008 7:06 pm
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This article really got me thinking about the huge obsession of some with expensive tunnels. I think all the money (if there is going to be some!) is better spent above the ground to increase the efficiency of entry and exits to the loop and at least out to the key inner-suburban stations where lines branch. The loop has way more capacity left in it - let me illustrate:
Travellers in the pm peak, first think of all the times you go to your loop platform and see "4 minutes", 5 minutes" or more on the screen. This is spare capacity!
Now, compare this with the times when there have been delays and you end up with four trains in sucession - when one train is just out of sight and the chime goes for the next train which crawls in on the orange signal (i.e. minimum headway). Have you noticed how many passengers get moved over a period of about six to eight minutes? It's quite impressive really. Imagine if the whole peak hour went like that?
The bottleneck is what happens to the trains when they exit - expresses get caught behind stoppers, trains have to cross lines creating delays etc. If that was all sorted out, together with updated signalling, we wouldn't need another rail tunnel servicing the CBD for quite some time.
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Speed
Chief Commissioner
Joined: Mar 19, 2007 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008
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Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2008 7:37 pm
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Grade-separating tracks around Richmond so that trains could easily switch lines without crossing the paths of other trains would help to avoid disruptions in inner-regions and to reduce delays. It would be cheaper than a tunnel from Caulfield to the Northern Group.
However, it would still attract protests on the grounds that it was an inner-city enhancement rather than an outer-suburb one. Those against improvements to existing rail corridors would still oppose it. Mees would still launch personal attacks on Eddington.
There are also merits to adding more railway-stations near inner-city commercial-centres.
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EvanC
Chief Plonker
Joined: Apr 26, 2005 Last Visited: Nov 25, 2008 Location: Seymour/Bayswater, Victoria
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Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2008 11:13 pm
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I like his logic...
It is quite clear that the most significant problems with the system lie at its core - the city loop and Flinders Street. Obvious infrastructure contraints mean that we soon will simply not be able to put more trains (thus more passengers) through these places). Capacity can go a little further still - some changes are already happening (eg; taking Werribee out of the loop), and others may have to be considered (eg; double deck trains - something I'm generally not a fan of), although none without their disadvantages (sacrifices will likely have to be made in some cases).
But anyway, Mees' solution... More passengers! Extend the lines and the services to attract still more people! And the problem in the city? There is no problem, it's all a lie!
It's almost like he's talking about a different city, with a different transport problem. What a moron.
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fogcv
Chief Train Controller
Joined: Dec 06, 2006 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008 Location: The Burnley Group
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 8:23 am
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| richiebogie wrote: | Sir Rod was commisioned to investigate improved East West links and not improvement to public transport generally. However his later recommendations do appear to be an attempt to extend his report to cover this.
The Eddington report seems to find that there are track capacity deficiencies between Caulfield and Footscray, and that this is the most urgent priority for Melbourne's rail infrastructure.
However a thought experiment suggests that the highest priority constraint lies elsewhere.
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My understanding is that the Eddington Rail Tunnel "solution" is to solve a tram capacity problem in St. Kilda Road (due to St.Kilda Road now being "developed" beyond what the trams can cope with).
Last time I worked in St.Kilda Road, it didn't run "east-west" and anyone who lived east or north-east of Melbourne drove their cars in. PT options were way too slow.
Far cheaper to put some new tram routes down Kings Way. This means there is money left over for the first stage of rail to Doncaster.
The Ghost of (Sir) John Monash (Circa 1931)
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OJ
Junior Train Controller
Joined: Apr 30, 2006 Last Visited: Sep 20, 2008
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 9:41 am
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| EvanC wrote: | I like his logic...
It is quite clear that the most significant problems with the system lie at its core - the city loop and Flinders Street. Obvious infrastructure contraints mean that we soon will simply not be able to put more trains (thus more passengers) through these places). Capacity can go a little further still - some changes are already happening (eg; taking Werribee out of the loop), and others may have to be considered (eg; double deck trains - something I'm generally not a fan of), although none without their disadvantages (sacrifices will likely have to be made in some cases).
But anyway, Mees' solution... More passengers! Extend the lines and the services to attract still more people! And the problem in the city? There is no problem, it's all a lie!
It's almost like he's talking about a different city, with a different transport problem. What a moron. |
I don't see how the problem is specifically the loop/flinders street. There are 4 tracks, 3 of which only serve two corridors. Any other rail system would have 2 minute frequencies through such a section (meaning 4 minute frequencies to each corridor). The northern section of the circle line Between Baker St and Liverpool St in London has 1 track in each direction serving 3 lines at frequencies of a couple of minutes. Even the Northern Group in theory should be able to have 8 minute frequencies through the loop even without removing the Werribee line.
The problem ISN'T the loop per se, as Gazz said, it's the access into the centre and coordinating expresses and SAS. So on that count, Mees is entirely correct, and the money should be spent on freeing up the Jolimont and North Melbourne/Spencer st sections, widening the busier corridors, restructuring service, driver changes etc; and better utilising the extra two tracks through Southern Cross and Flinders St.
As for the tunnel. I still support it, but on the grounds that Fogcv raised. St Kilda Road, Southbank, and the Hospital/Uni areas are major destinations that are completely ignored by the rail network - and therefore induce more private vehicle traffic and cause more tram congestion and overcrowding.
It should definately be on the cards, but Mees correctly points out that MUCH more immediate and less costly benefits could be gained by restructuring operations and infrastructure outside of the CBD.
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cooch
Station Staff
Joined: Mar 18, 2008 Last Visited: Jul 9, 2008
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 9:52 am
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EvanC, you quote:
| Quote: | | It is quite clear that the most significant problems with the system lie at its core - the city loop and Flinders Street. Obvious infrastructure contraints mean that we soon will simply not be able to put more trains (thus more passengers) through these places). |
Can you support your view with facts?
Paul Mees goes to quite some detail to describe WHY he believes city bound services can be run at twice the current capacity. He clearly states that 8 in-bound tracks are avaiable that in his view can comfortably carry 192 trains an hour compared to the current 96.
thanks fogcv for your link to the article in The Age. Unfortunately Connex's explanations are not clear to me nor do they specifically ask for a new cross city tunnel. For example:
| Quote: | But what it's really useful for, Mr White says, is showing the complexity of a network where each train depends on others to reach its destination on time.
This means a delay at North Melbourne can stop trains in Richmond, and is what Mr White, who is Connex's general manger network development, must deal with as he oversees the network's biggest timetable restructuring in years. |
Why does a delay at North melbourne stop trains at Richmond? Is it due to signalling problems? is it tangled tracks? is it queues at the loop? Why is there a delay in North Melbourne in the first place? The lack of clear explanations worry me.
Another example:
| Quote: |
"If we put extra trains in and evenly gave access to the loop, it would just lock up," he says. |
Why? What is Connex's definition of "lock up" there are 4 loop tracks - what train frequencies do they define as "lock up".
Melburnians need to know th facts as we will not depart with $9b on a cross city tunnel too easily.
Can anyone clarify the facts for us? please.
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mjja
Sir Nigel Gresley
Joined: Jan 13, 2003 Last Visited: Nov 21, 2008 Location: Mount Waverley, Melbourne
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 10:50 am
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The problem is not ACCESS in to Flinders Street (which as Mees says is not yet at capacity) but PLATFORMS at Flinders Street. You can easily funnel a train every two minutes down a track, but you can't stop a train, pick up passengers, have some slack time to allow for late running, change drivers, etc in that time. That's why if you ever travel in to Flinders Street in evening peak you get stuck under the Exhibition Street bridge for ages waiting for a platform. Overcrowding has made it worse, of course.
My guesstimate (based on personal observation, passenger psychology and basic physics) is that if we run a train every two minutes we need two to three platforms to put them on - which means we need about 20 platforms at Flinders Street. And that's only for through lines (including ones that go via the City Loop) - any that go in and back out (like the Blackameins) will need even longer.
My personal idea is that we need to extend the platforms so they can fix two six-car sets. Then we install a scissors crossover half way down, and the trains behind can get around the one in front using the middle track that exists between every pair of platforms except 3 and 4. Signalling would be something to look at, but it's a lot easier to tackle that than to try any other way of adding serious capacity to a heritage listed station jammed between the CBD and the river.
Happy Gunzelling and remember, "Go by rail!"
Michael Angelico
President, Smart Passengers Inc
(My opinions are my own unless specifically stated.)
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tranzitjim
Chief Commissioner
Joined: Jun 09, 2006 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 11:22 am
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| mjja wrote: | The problem is not ACCESS in to Flinders Street (which as Mees says is not yet at capacity) but PLATFORMS at Flinders Street. You can easily funnel a train every two minutes down a track, but you can't stop a train, pick up passengers, have some slack time to allow for late running, change drivers, etc in that time. That's why if you ever travel in to Flinders Street in evening peak you get stuck under the Exhibition Street bridge for ages waiting for a platform. Overcrowding has made it worse, of course.
My guesstimate (based on personal observation, passenger psychology and basic physics) is that if we run a train every two minutes we need two to three platforms to put them on - which means we need about 20 platforms at Flinders Street. And that's only for through lines (including ones that go via the City Loop) - any that go in and back out (like the Blackameins) will need even longer.
My personal idea is that we need to extend the platforms so they can fix two six-car sets. Then we install a scissors crossover half way down, and the trains behind can get around the one in front using the middle track that exists between every pair of platforms except 3 and 4. Signalling would be something to look at, but it's a lot easier to tackle that than to try any other way of adding serious capacity to a heritage listed station jammed between the CBD and the river. |
They would need to do something to the Xtraps. Then they could perhaps solve the Blackburn/Alamein services by running then through the city.
Another solution could be, they have plans to have tracks at two levels at Southern Cross, perhaps we could build some of them, and use them for us to terminate those trains at?
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OJ
Junior Train Controller
Joined: Apr 30, 2006 Last Visited: Sep 20, 2008
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 11:38 am
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| mjja wrote: | | The problem is not ACCESS in to Flinders Street (which as Mees says is not yet at capacity) but PLATFORMS at Flinders Street. You can easily funnel a train every two minutes down a track, but you can't stop a train, pick up passengers, have some slack time to allow for late running, change drivers, etc in that time. |
And that is the problem. Dwelling at Flinders Street and Changing drivers is what clogs the whole system up. Time should be made up, and drivers should change OUT of the centre, and that would make 2 minute running feasible without umpteen platforms, as happens everywhere else in the world.
If all trains travelled straight through the CBD without making up time or changing drivers then only one platform would be required per loop tunnel at both Southern Cross and Flinders Street.
Dwell time should be factored into major stations outside the CBD (Clifton Hill, Burnley, Footscray, South Yarra), with the dwell occurring against the peak (eg: and afternoon inbound from Glen Waverley would dwell at Burnley so that it ran on time through the city loop and out again).
Drivers should change at the END of the lines. (yes it would lengthen their shifts, but it seems to work fine on other systems).
So extra platforms wouldn't be needed if the running of the system was addressed. The only infrastructure that is really critical is to untangle the Spencer St to North Melbourne sections, and to a lesser extent Jolimont, so that trains crossing the paths of one another is eliminated or at least reduced.
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fogcv
Chief Train Controller
Joined: Dec 06, 2006 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008 Location: The Burnley Group
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 1:07 pm
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| OJ wrote: | | mjja wrote: | | The problem is not ACCESS in to Flinders Street (which as Mees says is not yet at capacity) but PLATFORMS at Flinders Street. You can easily funnel a train every two minutes down a track, but you can't stop a train, pick up passengers, have some slack time to allow for late running, change drivers, etc in that time. |
...
Dwell time should be factored into major stations outside the CBD (Clifton Hill, Burnley, Footscray, South Yarra), with the dwell occurring against the peak (eg: and afternoon inbound from Glen Waverley would dwell at Burnley so that it ran on time through the city loop and out again).
Drivers should change at the END of the lines. (yes it would lengthen their shifts, but it seems to work fine on other systems).
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Spot on OJ !!!
My only suggestion that you might want to change drivers at your Dwell Points. i.e Clifton Hill, Burnley, Footscray & South Yarra.
The Craigeburn Line and Upfield line would need their own Dwell Points for driver change - perhaps Essendon and Coburg respectively.
As they say on "Myth Busters", The Flinders Street Capacity Problem MYTH has just been BUSTED !!!
The Ghost of (Sir) John Monash (Circa 1931)
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fullofrubbish
Assistant Commissioner
Joined: Mar 14, 2007 Last Visited: Dec 1, 2008 Location: Parkville
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Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 3:42 pm
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Great comments Mjja & OJ. If only it was reasoned argument like this that got into the papers instead of current rubbish. With all this in mind, how would this list of dot points look as a possible solution to the current crisis developing:
-Flinders street no longer main dwell and driver change centre, shift to outer end of lines
-If this will not give free up the 2 minute frequency into flinders street and out again, possible selective platform extensions to hold 2 X 6car sets as mjja suggested
-Signalling upgrades to allow this to happen
-Through running of services of direct services to reduce stop time and space taken up around the flinders street platforms/precints for reversing
-Untagling conflicting movements between Southern Cross & NME
-Targetted track and signal upgrades to deal with express/SAS issues outside of direct inner city (i.e West Footscray to Sunshine), (i.e places like Oakleigh & Westall along Pakenham line)
In my belief, these changes would allow the network to run closer to its full capacity, and instead of spending all of $9 billion on one tunnel, have cash left over for line extensions (eg Mernda) and electrifications (Sunbury/Melton), AND new trains to run in the freed up capacity.
If anything, the current crisis needs a bigger a big rethink on operational practises with smaller targeted infrastructure improvements, rather than keeping our inefficient operational practises and spending HUGE amounts on new infrastructure.
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