If Jackie Lambie's experience in Tasmania (and also Clive Palmer's experiment) is anything to go by, a party lead by a name only (and not a known ideology) may not be the best way to win lower house seats.
At the last Federal election, NXT won a lower house seat (Mayo) and placed second in three others.
The dislike for Jay Weatherill and the near anonymity of Steven Marshall gives SA Best a genuine chance of getting a couple, and means we have a genuinely unpredictable election.
Davenport is one that could go to SA Best. The Liberals are running a party hack against a popular local councillor, while the ALP has registered a candidate but done nothing much more than that.
Is SA-Best able to win seats in the upper house?
That is certain, the only question is how many?
For the Legislative Council, the whole state is one district with 11 Members elected by Proportional Representation at each election to serve a double term.
My prediction for the LC result is Liberal 4, ALP 3, SA Best 3, Greens 1.
These would then be added to the MLCs who are on a 2014-2022 term to make a total of Liberal 8, ALP 7, SA Best 3, Greens 2, Conservatives 1, Advance SA 1 (former NXT member John Darley).