Explanation is simple.
All this is irrelevant. It doesn’t explain how John Howard went from ‘never ever!’ to implementing the GST.
The two-election possible scenario is an argument that can’t be lost. It isn’t unconstitutional and is an option available to the Government, much the same as going to an early election is (was). The LNP didn’t go to an early election because it knew it would lose but can now claim the moral high-ground by saying it wanted to go the full term. If the LNP is still facing suicide by calling an election in May, it is an option that will be very much on the table. One reason it may not be taken up is, given the LNP’s minority status, it could trigger a successful no-confidence motion against the Government, but, once again, what will it have to lose. If it chooses not use the option, the LNP can deny it ever considered it, much the same as with the early election scenario.
Anyway for most of us it will happen if and when it happens. However for those on the periphery of politics it needs to be kept in mind. For example, if you’re a political journalist planning holidays, you wouldn’t consider November until after the election is called.
First election, dismissed the whole proposal to distance themselves from the bad history.
First term, reviewed options both including and avoiding the GST knowing there was alot of bad blood on the GST, repackaged their proposal based on past learnings by both ALP and LNP PR disasters.
Went to the 2nd election with GST on table as part of policy. A vote for the LNP is a vote for GST, don't want, vote ALP.
There are alot of things the govt can do that is legal, but they won't and don't because it would be a disaster electrol wise.
I don't think too many people will buy the "we went full term, look how good we are" story. They went full term because they didn't have a choice.
Agree, we will see what happens when it happens.
I'll put this on the table now
Election called shortly after for late May
LNP loose by 15 - 20 seats.