The sale of EV's in Australia is very very low with the highest selling model being the Telstra Model S https://www.tesla.com/en_au/models but this was only a few thousand cars across the entire country for the last 12 months. Why is the uptake of EV's in Australia in the personal car market so low?From the outside looking in i'd say price, and charging locations. Yes, both are being attended to, but i'm not aware of public charging locations in my home town areas in east gippsland, victoria. Bairnsdale, Lakes Entrance, Orbost should (and may, i just don't know of any) all need them. In Lakes Entrance, your talking a major tourist town as well.
Straight off the top of my head, the ridiculous price for what you get. I think the cheapest around is about $50,000. By the time you pay off the difference compared to the equivalent petrol or diesel car, also taking into account refilling/recharging for both, it's past time to buy a new one.Yes Australia currently does not have the capacity to recharge EV's, due to the renewable only policy I doubt we ever will have enough generation capacity to re-charge EV's should they ever be affordable and ICE vehicles repalced by EV's.
Also lack of infrastructure for charging.
Also we like to drive long distances to the middle of nowhere.
Also the government about to implement a km charge for electric vehicles.
Also no rebates compared to other countries.
Also even if we did get a rebate that would just increase the price so we'd end up paying the same.
I probably missed something.
Lack of charging locations away from home. This is chicken and the egg situation. More of these will only be installed once more are bought. But the lack of these is a big disincentive to buy.
Lack of dealerships. I live in a regional city in North Qld, where do I go for a person to service the vehicle that is appropriately qualified? I can't go to the local mechanic. Oh, I have to drive 1000km to Brisbane.
Lack of green credentials in OZ. Most power in OZ is from carbon. However my view this is neutral and not barrier as the current internal combustion engine is worse.
Price. As others said still outside of the sweet spot. Too much and not enough value. I agree with RTT and I think that these will become the second car of most families, if they reduce the entry costs. I think MG is on the right path and hopefully BYD will hit our market to put pressure on others with their price point.
Range anxiety. These will not be the main vehicles for families in regional Qld. I drive twice per year with the family down to Brissie. Takes 11 hours with fuel and meal breaks. An EV will significantly add time due to charging time and lack of range for that charge. It may take another 10 years to conquer that barrier.
In the interim with Toyota pushing hybrids, it is forcing others to introduce that. When the Hybrid Hilux lobs in the next 5 years, that alone will change the thinking of the largest market the ute drivers and other manufacturers. Eg Hyundai when they introduce their ute, I am sure hybrids will be part of that model development. Then that will flow onto other car classes.
EV batteries are obviously getting cheaper as Tesla often cuts the price on a regular basis, but also rising $A appears to be helping.
Model X and S to see up to $80k or 25 - 33% price reductions.
If and when EVs reach critical mass, the charging station situation will be reversed. Whilst the demand for petrol and oil won’t completely disappear, it will be drastically reduced. The negative economies of scale will increase the price of manufacture and distribution. A lot of service stations will close or become charging points not selling petrol, diesel or oil; particularly those in small country towns. (The die-hards might have to buy it in 200-litre drums.)Ironically NZ is further ahead on commercially funded charging stations.
It's not just cars that are going electric, but others such as buses and delivery vehicles. Sydney, for example, has ordered 50 electric buses and proposes to replace all its 8000 buses by 2030 (a bit optimistic). A fair drop in the demand for diesel (not sure how many are gas powered).
A bit esoteric, but it will have wide spread effects such as in the Middle East. Things can happen quickly. 20 years ago (Sydney Olympics) there were no smart phones, TVs were CRT (4:3 aspect ratio), transmission was analogue, not digital, and the internet was dial-up.
You can buy such cheap EV's but not in Oz and nor would they likely prove attractive.EV batteries are obviously getting cheaper as Tesla often cuts the price on a regular basis, but also rising $A appears to be helping.
Model X and S to see up to $80k or 25 - 33% price reductions.
I also think price has a bit to do with it and also the lack of charging opportunities without a plan to install any. The opportunity is to develop a $20k EV car for around town because I personally do not think this current Tesla is in that market.
Kitchgp, I think the small town service stations will remain as petrol/diesel stations. Too many farmers/heavy vehicles and distances for the locals. The towns off the main highways may have one or two charging points, but most of the money will come from fossil fuels.I've pondered this also and initially thought that servos would gradually become charging stations, but I'm not so sure now.
In built up suburban areas, agree, but on major highways and transport corridors I think petrol stations will slowly evolve into charging stations over a decade or more.Kitchgp, I think the small town service stations will remain as petrol/diesel stations. Too many farmers/heavy vehicles and distances for the locals. The towns off the main highways may have one or two charging points, but most of the money will come from fossil fuels.I've pondered this also and initially thought that servos would gradually become charging stations, but I'm not so sure now.
Most charging will take place at home/work/shopping centres.
Those who need to recharge enroute in small towns will want to recharge at a place where there is something to do while charging.
Hanging out while charging at an insalubrious garage is not an attractive idea for many.
A progressive local council may encourage a charger located where motorists can take refreshment and utilise toilets.
Things will change quickly with solid-state batteries. The issue then is the grid (as it stands today) would collapse very quickly if a whole lot of people plugged in to 350 kW chargers around a similar time. A lot of network management will be needed, along with localized pumped-hydro/battery storage charged by excess power from renewables.The good news is we have over 20 years to plan and make the changes required. Assume >95% mandatory EV by 2030, 10 year vehicle life for ICE, means it will 2040 just to have half the cars on the road EV, 2050 likely >80%.
This Spring and Summer saw many wind turbines idled and solar panels outputting a fraction of their potential because of supply vastly exceeding demand in Victoria, particularly in the middle of the day.
I have to laugh at Aussies paying a giant premium for big V8 diesel Landcruisers before they go V6/hybrid:Yeah, friend in Sydney did the same. But to be fair he was switching from an Audi after finally realizing Audi's are a money pit. He was just thankful his wife stopped him buying his and her Audi's because she thought it looked "dorkish". So I don't think he was avoiding V6 hybrid, rather just buying similar to what he had in Dubai where he had the American Toyota big wagon, Sequoia.
I see the EV charging network now the same as LPG in the mid '80s. If you were driving around the major cities, or going between Melbourne and Sydney, LPG was feasible. Anywhere else, careful planning was required.The manufacturers are making high spec cars because the technology is still expensive and no one will be lining up to buy a $50,000 EV Corolla. Happened in the past with EFI and other fuel saving and improved driver experience.
The cost of vehicles is still a killer. The point above that manufacturers are making them high spec models is true. That doesn't help.
Think that I will stick with infernal combustion.Nothing wrong with that, they will be around until at least 2040, although the number of models available after 2030 is predicted to be a fraction of today with many manufacturers having ceased all ICE (internal combustion) and sales completely by 2030. A small number such as Volvo, Jag etc have already or will in near future cease any further development in ICE and indicated their intention to stop making ICE cars within the next few years.