According to ABC News, their is another 260,000 postal & absentee votes to be counted.
Postal/early/absent/declaration votes rarely make a significant difference in SA, the proportions are usually within ±1% of the votes cast on the day.
The news said that the Liberals won the majority of the votes, but not the majority of seats - at this stage.
The statewide count in SA is always distorted by the long-time SA Labor strategy of not bothering with safe Liberal seats, putting up candidates who are so hopeless that even the rusted on party faithful wouldn't bother getting out of bed without compulsory voting. In Waite they put up a girl from out of the area whose photo made her look so young you'd have been forgiven for thinking she needed her mum's permission to run for election and in Davenport they had another young woman who is "Currently a student at Flinders University" - that was her candidate profile, quoted in full!
It looks extremely improbable that either party will get 24 seats, with the two independents holding two of the safest seats in the state with 2010 two candidate preferred margins of 16.6% for Bob Such (currently sitting on 20.6%) and 6.7% for Geoff Brock (currently sitting on 15.8%).
If the two independents elected to the House of Assembly want to abide by the will of the people, they will support the Liberal party to form a minority government and support them in votes of confidence, but evaluate all other bills on their merit. That the Liberal/Labor vote is split 35/18 in Fisher
and 37/11 in Frome
is a pretty clear indication of who the people of those independently represented districts want in government.
I'd like to know how can you have a "team" of independents? If they form a team, they aren't really independents, are they?
They are not affiliated with any party, that makes them independents in my book. Being grouped together on the ballot paper doesn't turn them into a party, it's just about giving them a fighting chance of taking on the major parties.
It would be preferable if the Legislative Council ballot papers did not have party groupings at all and the candidates were all randomly sorted with their party affiliation or independent endorsement printed underneath their name, and preferences became optional after 11 boxes were numbered.