If my "news" is accurate, there will be no SRL, no Metro 2 nor anything else for PT for decades to come. The news on my grapevine is that the beer virus poopshow has created such a massive hole in the state finances, there'll be no money for anything. The cutbacks that will be required to make up these deficits will be so severe, they would make the efforts of the Kennett government look like a Sunday picnic.Your "news" on your so called grapevine is clearly a complete "poopshow" perhaps fed by crazy anti-vaxers and QAnon type loonies? To suggest that, "there will be no SRL......nor anything else for PT for decades to come" is an absolutely farcical and nonsensical assertion.
You obviously know little about Vic ALP econimic policy. Even the Fed & NSW Libs have signed up to Kenysian economic polices during the Covid downturn - they threw their previous fiscal ideology out the window, no more 'debt and deficit' issues. They are most happy to spend and invest their way out of a downturn as most govts around the world are indeed also doing.
The "massive hole" may not be so massive by May given the previous post lockdown bounce back (loads of pent up spending) and with the booming housing market this year those state coffers are raking in greater than forecast stamp duties. You perhaps also forget that debt servicing costs are much cheaper than they have been for decades highlighted by Fed debt being twice what is was a few years ago but repayments being much cheaper now. It really is the best time to build major infastructure projects.
MM2 was unlikely to get a go ahead before the end of the decade once SRL became the main big spend project. SRL is literally about to start next year 6 months before the Nov election. It is a big part of the ALPs reelection platform and the govts post-Covid recovery program. Also, starting works next year will be MARL as funding is already committed. Aslo, funding from the Feds for Geelong HSR which should start work in 2023/4. LXR program will continue. Thereafter, electrification to Melton and Wydnham Vale by the end of the decade. Perhaps the ext to Clyde too?
So that's 3 major PT projects starting in the next 2 years. Melbourne has grown by nearly 2m since the Kennett cuts and it on the way to 8m by 2050. It would be electoral suicide for any party to even canvass the idea of imposing cuts of the scope that you absurdly suggest.
Your delusion is comical.
I have no idea how and why you would bring up anything to do with vaccination and the "Q" crap from the US. The fiscal bomb transcends party politics like never before in the history of Federation. It doesn't matter which team is at the helm, no amount of Keynesian insanity will be able to sort out the finances of the nation and specifically Victoria and NSW. Any new bonds issued by the states and the federal government will be worth less than belly lint. The RBA won't be as stupid as the US Fed and become the literal lender of last resort.
And you conveniently left out the fact that people are leaving Victoria en masse:
This exodus is only accelerating, so this population growth Ponzi scheme has run its course.
Seriously, first you absurdly state " there will be no SRL
, no Metro 2 nor anything else for PT for decades to come. "
I literally pointed out 3 major PT projects that are due to start in the next 2 years, 2 of them before next years election.
Your statement is so patently farcial that the rumours can only have come from the crazy anti-vaxer types. You offered no stats, details or financial discourse to back up your assertion, just an all encompasing, absolute "nor anything else for PT for decades to come".
You didn't even try to qualify such an patently absurd statement.
Now, you want to state that the sky is falling, everyone is leaving en masse (which you never mentioned, but which is statiscally insignificant given the numbers) and that we have a fiscal bomb like no other in history! Ever heard of the Great recession and perhaps the post war period? That immigration Ponzi scheme as you call it has been run by the Feds for the last 15 years so you might want to discuss it with them. International migration will ramp up again in the next 2 years and 75% of migrants come to both Sydney and Melbourne.
There is an easy proof if you are right and we don't even need to wait until works start later next year on both the MARL and the SRL. If you are correct, then the state budget in May will announce "such a massive hole in the state finances" that the govt will be left with no option but to cancel all 3 major projects (plus a bunch of other tram and bus programs) at that point;
2) MARL (unless the Feds provide another 5 billion)
3) Geelong HSR
And according to you, they will start implementing "The cutbacks that will be required to make up these deficits will be so severe, they would make the efforts of the Kennett government look like a Sunday picnic." Thus, we'll see loads of bus, tram and train service schedules cut and some lines closed.
So when these projects are cancelled and service cutbucks are announcced in the May state budget, you are most welcome to return to this thread and tell everyone - especially me - how the rumour and your prediction were completely correct. Also, that we will have no new PT projects for "decades to come". You only have to wait until May to be proven correct.....