NSW will be staying at home for all of August at this rate.
I think the NSW Gvt has given up trying to stop it. They are going to try an "manage" it - as if they can.
I suspect we'll have a "live with COVID" type partial easing of restrictions next week, and we'll be in semi-lockdown until the hospital system collapses.
If that's going to be the case, the state borders around NSW are going to be very paranoid. Queensland is shutting their borders to all of NSW by Friday 23rd July 1a.m. They have to manage the grave risk of their hotel quarantine too.
The vaccines being flown in are going to have to concentrate their bulk on NSW as the only way out.
Then there is the very fragile zero community transmissions to maintain, in other states.
Also have the NSW press conferences referenced any COVID caused/related deaths in the past two days? Unless I have missed it, the news haven't appeared to have elaborated on any.
If there aren't any, at the very least, NSW may be starting to manage it. The case numbers will prolong through the weeks, but as long as deaths are prevented, then that is a hopeful sign. It's when the deaths start happening and start increasing, that's where the state is officially losing control, especially when it starts reaching Victoria's 800 Alpha deaths with the Delta ripping into NSW right now.
It's well known how deaths can start rising at this stage. So I am being very optimistic it wont start coming in higher numbers.
If hospitals become very overwhelmed with cases, then the more likely we will scenes where masses of the population are desperate for oxygen and are out on the streets looking for oxygen tanks to take home for their sick, dying members of their households.
The big worry I have is the potential for it to mutate here into another form that is capable of becoming even more resistant to vaccines.
Given how this has gone and likely to continue, I wonder if there will be enough outrage against the Prime Minister's failure at vaccines and refusal to administer quarantine will even materialize, and end up triggering a leadership spill. It doesn't seem likely given the mainstream media environment and how the PM is carefully managing his approach. He has a lot of experience in managing perception and thus is very strategic in deflection.