We will never know Obama vs Trump who would win, but had Obama been allowed to run again he would have likely won again removing Trump from the equation. But Trump is there because the Dem's put Hillary on the platform, considering Hillary lost even after winning on popular vote by 4m votes shows it would not have taken much to keep Trump out. My guess is Trump vs Obama and Obama would have won.Another good post but I'd add a few things -
The people who voted for Obama are mostly the poor.
Under Obama unemployment was improving and the same trend continued into Trump's era until 2019.
Trump was never going to rescue the poor, rather the opposite it was even in his policy.
Trump wanted to bring jobs back into the US, but those jobs kept leaving for the same reason they left Australia. You cannot make money making something with labour costing $15-20/h where as others do it for less. This has been going on for decades as the economy develops. The low education high labour manual jobs go off-shore replaced by modern higher skilled jobs. Mexico builds low cost cars, the US builds high cost cars, planes and rockets.
The problem with the Republican party is when it comes to economic management they talk the talk but don't walk it.
- Debt always rises
- Deficits are rarely brought under control
- They throw money at the military
- They won't increase taxes
- They only try and balance the budget by cutting what little welfare the US has.
For all his faults, Clinton is still the only President that has managed to reduce the debt during his term for a long time.
Obama was popular but he did nothing for those in poverty, in fact poverty increased quite a bit in the first four years of Obama - unemployment fell in Trumps first few years from 4.7% to 3.4% and GDP grew so although he didn't directly give welfare to the poor he did improve the economy pre-COVID.
Bringing industry back on shore is very hard but not impossible - in the case of China in particilar big companies like Monsanto, Bayer, Dow and technology/defense companies were screaming out for Obama to do something to stop Chinese theft of their intellectual property and by and large he sat on his hands. At least that changed under Trump and China suddenly had to account for their actions particularly with patents and investment rules.
China should never have been admitted to the WTO in my opinion, they're still not adhering to the terms of their admission in 2002 and more recently have been clearly breaking the rules. One of the sadder things about the re-election of the Democrats (for Australia) is the likely 'back to normal' for China being able to do whatever they want whenever they like. With them threatening Australia on a regular basis and turning around our exports illegally I really can't see Biden being that interested in defending us from that kind of aggression given his form as Vice President.